Today is April 2nd, 2020. This is an update from two days ago, with Covid-19 statistics from Johns Hopkins University and other sources. The number of cases and the number of deaths in the US are still increasing faster than the predictions I made on March 22nd (If We Do Nothing). Although we are doing things in the US, we are still not doing them fast enough, as the charts below illustrate.

The upper chart shows recorded deaths and cases in the US. Deaths (red lines) have been rising faster than my March 22 predictions. 

The center chart shows recorded deaths and recorded cases outside China.

The lower chart (which is linear, not logarithmic, like the upper two) shows recorded US deaths/day and cases/day. The number of US deaths today and yesterday ( by 8:00 pm CST according to JHU) exceeded 1000. The US is not doing enough to “flatten the curve”.

UNPRECEDENTED MEASURES BY THE US PRESIDENT IN THE LAST FEW DAYS HAVE MADE IT POSSIBLE FOR ALL WHO DO NOT NEED TO LEAVE HOME, TO STAY HOME. YOUR CITY MAY SEEM SAFE TODAY WITH FEW COVID-19 CASES, BUT EXPECT THE NEW YORK SCENARIO, UNLESS WE ARE ALL PRO-ACTIVE.

HOSPITALS MAY BECOME OVERLOADED ALL ACROSS THE US.

I urge everyone to help change the shape of these curves. Stay at home if your job is not critical to your country’s recovery. Thank God for the brave men and women who must go out to keep their nations safe and supplied.