COVID-19: If We Do Nothing


This post is written on Sunday, March 22, 2020. The COVID-19 pandemic is ravaging the world. There are some most informative articles out there. This is one of the best I have seen recently: and the above figure is taken from it.

The Johns Hopkins worldwide data, updated continuously: is a great resource. When I extrapolate the worldwide confirmed cases and deaths, outside China, for the last three weeks, and factor the equivalent numbers to be expected in the US, if we follow the same trend, I get the following chart covering the NEXT 22 DAYS:

COVID-19 US Growth Projections
COVID-19 US Growth Projections

Lets hope we can agree to adopt a serious Suppression Strategy and not see this come true.