Today is March 31st, 2020. This is an update from yesterday with Covid-19 statistics from Johns Hopkins University and other sources. The number of cases and the number of deaths in the US are still increasing faster than the predictions I made on March 22nd (If We Do Nothing). Although we are doing things in the US, we are still not doing them fast enough, as the charts below illustrate.

The upper chart shows recorded deaths and cases in the US. Deaths (red lines) have been rising faster than my March 22 predictions. 

The center chart shows recorded deaths and recorded cases outside China.

The lower chart (which is linear, not logarithmic, like the upper two) shows recorded US deaths/day and cases/day. The number of US deaths today ( by 7:00 pm CST according to JHU) is 895, compared to 511 yesterday. The US is not doing enough to “flatten the curve”.

THE NEW YORK SCENARIO OF MANY HUNDREDS OF DEATHS/DAY WILL COME TO EVERY BIG CITY IN THE US UNLESS WE DO MORE.

I urge everyone to help change the shape of these curves. Stay at home if your job is not critical to your country’s recovery. Thank God for the brave men and women who must go out to keep their nations safe and supplied.